Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Spartans
28.19% ( -0.09)	25.75% ( 0.08)	46.06% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.42% (

-0.39)

51.58% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.63% (

-0.34)

73.37% (

0.33)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

-0.27)

32.86% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

-0.3)

69.43% (

0.3)

Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.63% (

-0.17)

22.37% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.13% (

-0.25)

55.87% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Elgin City 28.19%

Spartans 46.05%

Draw 25.75%

Elgin City	Draw	Spartans
1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.19%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 11% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.05%