Scottish League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ainslie Park Stadium
  • Jordan Tapping 53' yellowcard
  • Cammy Russell 64' goal
  • Bradley Whyte 86' goal
  • yellowcard James Hilton 90'+1'

Spartans vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartans

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Stranraer 3 - 4 Spartans
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Blair Henderson

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Clyde 0 - 4 Dumbarton
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Tony Wallace

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.

Result

Spartans 45.25% (+0.13)
Draw 24.35% (-0.01)
Dumbarton 30.41% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.12% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.64% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 44.36% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 33.26% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 66.74% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.99% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.02% (+0.02)

Spartans Goals

Over 0.5 80.26% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 19.75% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 48.22% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 51.78% (-0.08)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 72.41% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 27.59% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 36.89% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 63.11% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Spartans 45.25%
Draw 24.35%
Dumbarton 30.41%
Spartans
2-1 @ 9.23% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.84% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.17% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.99% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.88% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.57% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 45.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.45% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.35%
Dumbarton
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.41%

Head to Head

Scottish League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Tony Wallace 55' goal
  • James Hilton 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Allan 54'
  • yellowcard Rhys Armstrong 57'
  • yellowcard Jordan Tapping 77'
  • goal Jamie Dishington 90'
Scottish League Cup
Jul 14, 2018 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ian McFarland 31' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Hutton 79'