Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Stranraer
45.48% ( 0.03)	26.1% ( -0.01)	28.42% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.21% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.16% (

0.04)

52.84% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.54% (

0.04)

74.46% (

-0.03)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83% (

0.03)

23.17% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.94% (

0.05)

57.05% (

-0.05)

Stranraer Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65% (

0.01)

33.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.03% (

0.01)

69.97% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 45.47%

Stranraer 28.42%

Draw 26.09%

Dumbarton	Draw	Stranraer
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.47%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.42%