Scottish League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Dumbarton3 - 1Forfar
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Dumbarton and Forfar Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kilmarnock II 1-1 Dumbarton (8-9 pen.)
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Elgin 0-0 Forfar (2-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
39.17% ( 0.72) | 27.65% ( 0.13) | 33.18% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 48.54% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
