Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round

Aug 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

BBSP Stadium Rugby Park

Kilmarnock II
1 - 1
Dumbarton

Wales (65')
Brannan (90+6')

FT
(aet)

Pignatiello (40')
Blair (88'), Durnan (90+6')

Dumbarton win 9-8 on penalties

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Kilmarnock II and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock II

Last Game: Kilmarnock II 3-1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Dumbarton

All competitions

Last Game: Dumbarton 1-1 Spartans
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock II win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%).

Result
Kilmarnock II	Draw	Dumbarton
51.71% ( 0.37)	21.67% ( -0.12)	26.62% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 64.88% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.78% (

0.36)

34.22% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.88% (

0.41)

56.12% (

-0.41)

Kilmarnock II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.45% (

0.24)

13.55% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.37% (

0.49)

40.63% (

-0.49)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04% (

0.02)

24.95% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.41% (

0.03)

59.59% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock II 51.72%

Dumbarton 26.62%

Draw 21.67%

Kilmarnock II	Draw	Dumbarton
2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.72%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.67%	1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 26.62%