Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Spartans
32.84% ( 0.08)	25.99% ( 0.02)	41.17% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 53.63% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.33% (

-0.06)

50.67% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.42% (

-0.05)

72.58% (

0.06)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

0.03)

29.12% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.96% (

0.03)

65.05% (

-0.03)

Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.66% (

-0.08)

24.34% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.27% (

-0.11)

58.73% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 32.84%

Spartans 41.16%

Draw 25.99%

Dumbarton	Draw	Spartans
1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.84%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.16%