MX23RW : Monday, April 29 12:02:59| >> :60:103:103:
Elgin City
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Borough Briggs
Forfar Athletic

Elgin
0 - 0
Forfar


MacEwan (40'), Dolzanski (45')
FT
(aet)

Munro (88')
Forfar win 3-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Elgin City and Forfar Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Forfar 0-0 Elgin
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Forfar Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Forfar 0-0 Elgin
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Elgin CityDrawForfar Athletic
33.54% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 25.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 40.67% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.52% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)49.61% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)71.63% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (0.019999999999996 0.02)28.15% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (0.024999999999999 0.02)63.83% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Forfar Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)24.12% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)58.42% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Elgin City 33.54%
    Forfar Athletic 40.67%
    Draw 25.78%
Elgin CityDrawForfar Athletic
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.33%
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.54%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 9.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.67%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Forfar
0-0
Elgin
Robson (85')
Draper (34'), Ewan (45'), Dingwall (90')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Elgin
2-0
Forfar
Hester (9'), Reid (20')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Forfar
0-1
Elgin
Reid (89')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Elgin
0-1
Forfar
Armour (3')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Forfar
2-2
Elgin
Aitken (39' pen.), Armour (81')
Nditi (59'), McCallum (67'), Hanratty (70'), Gebrial Abed (85')
Hester (5'), Dingwall (67' pen.)
Cameron (25'), Mailer (49'), Hester (87')
Cameron (38'), Mailer (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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