Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Dumbarton

Stenhousemuir
2 - 4
Dumbarton

Aitken (55' pen., 90+7')
Buchanan (33'), Yates (51'), Jamieson (90'), Kirkpatrick (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Crighton (14'), MacLean (29', 30'), Hilton (42')
Crighton (20'), Long (52'), MacLean (65'), Pignatiello (75'), Wallace (90+1'), Gray (90+2')
Pignatiello (82')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dumbarton 3-1 Forfar
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawDumbarton
38.31% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)26.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)35.62% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.97% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)50.48% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)72.4% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)25.76% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (0.012 0.01)60.7% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26%62.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 38.31%
    Dumbarton 35.62%
    Draw 26.06%
StenhousemuirDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.48%
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.62%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Dumbarton
1-2
Stenhousemuir
Lynas (45+4')
Reilly (71'), Orr (78')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Dumbarton
1-0
Stenhousemuir
Gray (38')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Stenhousemuir
1-1
Dumbarton
Yates (90+5')
Love (45+2')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stenhousemuir
1-3
Dumbarton
O'Reilly (72')
Orr (60')
Orr (33' og.), McNiff (54'), Gray (90+1')
McKee (74'), Wallace (81'), Carswell (84')
Jul 13, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Dumbarton
1-2
Stenhousemuir
MacLean (40')
Carswell (81')
Lyon (63'), Thomson (79')
Anderson (39')