Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.