Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 51.66%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.

Result
Spartans	Draw	Elgin City
51.66% ( -0.26)	24.12% ( 0.61)	24.21% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 53.76% (

-2.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.24% (

-2.98)

47.76% (

2.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.05% (

-2.81)

69.95% (

2.81)

Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

-1.22)

18.48% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.32% (

-2.1)

49.68% (

2.1)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.95% (

-1.92)

34.05% (

1.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.27% (

-2.12)

70.73% (

2.12)

Score Analysis

Spartans 51.66%

Elgin City 24.21%

Draw 24.12%

Spartans	Draw	Elgin City
1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.88) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.66%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.75) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.21%