Scottish League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ainslie Park Stadium
  • James Craigen 61' goal
  • Rhys Armstrong 63' goal
  • goal Russell Dingwall 77'

Spartans vs Elgin City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartans

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
Dumbarton 1 - 1 Spartans
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Blair Henderson

Elgin City

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
Forfar 0 - 0 Elgin
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Russell Dingwall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 51.66%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.

Result

Spartans 51.66% (-0.27)
Draw 24.12% (+0.62)
Elgin City 24.21% (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.76% (-2.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.24% (-2.99)
Under 2.5 47.76% (+2.98)
Over 3.5 30.05% (-2.82)
Under 3.5 69.95% (+2.81)
Over 4.5 14.71% (-1.99)
Under 4.5 85.29% (+1.99)

Spartans Goals

Over 0.5 81.52% (-1.22)
Under 0.5 18.48% (+1.22)
Over 1.5 50.32% (-2.10)
Under 1.5 49.68% (+2.10)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5 65.95% (-1.92)
Under 0.5 34.05% (+1.92)
Over 1.5 29.27% (-2.13)
Under 1.5 70.73% (+2.13)

Score analysis

Spartans 51.66%
Draw 24.12%
Elgin City 24.21%
Spartans
1-0 @ 10.62% (+0.88)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.97% (+0.42)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 5.05% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.30)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.21)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.19)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 51.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44% (+0.38)
0-0 @ 6.29% (+0.75)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.31)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.12%
Elgin City
0-1 @ 6.78% (+0.49)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 3.65% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.22)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 24.21%