Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.