Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.