Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.