Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.