Stranraer
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 13
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stair Park
Stenhousemuir

Stranraer
0 - 3
Stenhousemuir


Grant (45+4'), McIntosh (45+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aitken (15'), Yates (44'), O'Reilly (57')
Wedderburn (45+5')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stranraer and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stranraer

All competitions
Last Game: Peterhead 3-2 Stranraer
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-0 Peterhead
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.

Result
StranraerDrawStenhousemuir
34.68% (-0.114 -0.11)25.38% (-0.144 -0.14)39.94% (0.255 0.26)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.469 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (0.614 0.61)47.61% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (0.565 0.56)69.81% (-0.568 -0.57)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (0.224 0.22)26.49% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (0.297 0.3)61.68% (-0.299 -0.3)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (0.404 0.4)23.6% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (0.581 0.58)57.68% (-0.584 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Stranraer 34.68%
    Stenhousemuir 39.94%
    Draw 25.38%
StranraerDrawStenhousemuir
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 34.68%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 39.94%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stenhousemuir
5-0
Stranraer
Aitken (19' pen.), Buchanan (27', 58'), Brown (72', 78')
Taylor (42'), Bilham (61')

McDonald (19'), McIntosh (62'), Forrest (77')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Stranraer
2-0
Stenhousemuir
Grant (28'), Ecrepont (55')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stenhousemuir
2-1
Stranraer
Yates (22', 39')
Walker (27')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Stranraer
3-2
Stenhousemuir
Hilton (18'), Grant (34'), Gallagher (74')
Yates (39'), Orr (83')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stenhousemuir
3-1
Stranraer
Sewell (5'), Jamieson (31'), Crighton (36')
Wedderburn (33'), Brown (75')
Hilton (53')
Brady (32'), Grant (39'), Malcolm (81')
Grant (81')