Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.