Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.