Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.