Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.