Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Ochilview Park

Bradley Rodden 29'
Adam Brown 37'
Ross Taylor 65'
Ross Taylor 79'

Ryan Blair 62'
Sean Crighton 64'
Findlay Gray 66'
Ryan Blair 75'
Ryan Wallace 77'
Carlo Pignatiello 81'

Stenhousemuir vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

L
W
W
W
W
W

Scottish League Two

L
W
W
W
W
W

Last game

Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm

Peterhead 2 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Goals scored

50

Top scorer

Matthew Aitken

Dumbarton

All competitions

W
L
D
L
L
D

Scottish League Two

W
D
L
L
D
W

Last game

Jan 27, 2024 2.00pm

Elgin 0 - 1 Dumbarton

Goals scored

56

Top scorer

Tony Wallace

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.

Result

Stenhousemuir 46.29% ▼ (-0.81)

Draw 24.07% ▲ (+0.03)

Dumbarton 29.63% ▲ (+0.78)

Both Teams to Score:

58.6% ▲ (+0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.47% ▲ (+0.34)

Under 2.5 43.52% ▼ (-0.35)

Over 3.5 34.08% ▲ (+0.33)

Under 3.5 65.91% ▼ (-0.34)

Over 4.5 17.58% ▲ (+0.25)

Under 4.5 82.41% ▼ (-0.25)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5 81.03% ▼ (-0.20)

Under 0.5 18.97% ▲ (+0.20)

Over 1.5 49.49% ▼ (-0.33)

Under 1.5 50.5% ▲ (+0.33)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 72.31% ▲ (+0.70)

Under 0.5 27.68% ▼ (-0.71)

Over 1.5 36.76% ▲ (+0.89)

Under 1.5 63.24% ▼ (-0.90)

Score analysis

Stenhousemuir 46.29%

Draw 24.07%

Dumbarton 29.63%

Stenhousemuir

2-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.07)

1-0 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.19)

2-0 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.21)

3-1 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.08)

3-0 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.14)

3-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.03)

4-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.05)

4-0 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.07)

4-2 @ 1.38%

Other @ 3.3%

Total : 46.29%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.21% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.08)

0-0 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.08)

3-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 0.21%

Total : 24.07%

Dumbarton

1-2 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.14)

0-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.04)

0-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.11)

1-3 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.12)

2-3 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.09)

0-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.09)

Other @ 3.86%

Total : 29.63%

Head to Head

Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT The C&G Systems Stadium

Blair Malcolm 34'
Ryan Wallace 59'
Aron Lynas 60'

Kinlay Bilham 73'
James Berry 87'

Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm

2

4

HT : 0 4

FT Ochilview Park

Gregor Buchanan 33'
Matt Yates 51'
Matthew Aitken 55'
Nicky Jamieson 90'
Jordan Kirkpatrick 90'+1'
Matthew Aitken 90'+7'

Sean Crighton 14'
Sean Crighton 20'
Ross MacLean 29'
Ross MacLean 30'
James Hilton 42'
Brett Long 52'
Ross MacLean 65'
Carlo Pignatiello 75'
Carlo Pignatiello 82'
Tony Wallace 90'+1'
Findlay Gray 90'+2'

Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT

Aron Lynas 45'+4'

Gavin Reilly 71'
Thomas Orr 78'

Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Findlay Gray 38'

Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Matt Yates 90'+5'

Ally Love 45'+2'

Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm

1

3

HT : 0 2

FT

Matt Yates 4'
Thomas Orr 59'
Thomas Orr 60'
Ewan O'Reilly 72'

Ryan Blair 33'
Thomas Orr 33' (OG)
Martin McNiff 54'
Martin McNiff 54'
Joe McKee 74'
Ryan Wallace 81'
Stuart Carswell 84'
Findlay Gray 90'+1'

Form Data

Peterhead 2 - 1 Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Stranraer

Spartans 0 - 2 Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir 2 - 1 Forfar

Clyde 1 - 2 Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Elgin

Elgin 0 - 1 Dumbarton

Dumbarton 1 - 4 Rangers

Bonnyrigg Rose 1 - 1 Dumbarton

Peterhead 3 - 1 Dumbarton

Dumbarton 1 - 2 East Fife

Dumbarton 4 - 4 Clyde