Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.