Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.