Scottish League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Dumbarton

Spartans
2 - 6
Dumbarton

Russell (28'), Whyte (45')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Blair (5', 55'), Lynas (32'), Lennon (43'), Ruth (64'), Graham (89')
Blair (24'), Lynas (39')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Spartans and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartans

All competitions
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 0-0 Spartans
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Dumbarton

All competitions
Last Game: East Fife 3-2 Dumbarton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
SpartansDrawDumbarton
43.15% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)24.56% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)32.29% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.48% (0.042999999999999 0.04)44.52% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.11% (0.041000000000004 0.04)66.89% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.73% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.65% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.35% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (0.054000000000002 0.05)26.46% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (0.072000000000003 0.07)61.63% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Spartans 43.15%
    Dumbarton 32.29%
    Draw 24.55%
SpartansDrawDumbarton
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.15%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 32.29%

Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Dumbarton
0-0
Spartans
Pignatiello (69'), Ruth (72'), Wilson (85'), Newbury (90+3')
Armstrong (56'), Watson (59')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Spartans
2-0
Dumbarton
Russell (64'), Whyte (86')
Tapping (53')

Hilton (90+1')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Dumbarton
1-1
Spartans
Wallace (55' pen.)
Hilton (57')
Dishington (90')
Allan (54'), Armstrong (57'), Tapping (77')
Jul 14, 2018 3pm
Group Stage
Spartans
0-0
Dumbarton
 Dumbarton win 4-3 on penalties
McFarland (31')
Hutton (79')