Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.