Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.