Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.