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Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One

Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Wycombe Wanderers

Carlisle
1 - 3
Wycombe

McCalmont (28')
Neal (4'), Dudik (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McCleary (15', 75'), Kone (49')
Botts (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Wycombe Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Wycombe Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
21.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)24.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)54.09% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.48% (0.0040000000000049 0)50.51% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.43% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)37.88% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.65% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13%49.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 21.72%
    Wycombe Wanderers 54.08%
    Draw 24.18%
Carlisle UnitedDrawWycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 6.84%
2-1 @ 5.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.32%
3-1 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 21.72%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-3 @ 5.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.43%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-4 @ 2.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.08%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Wycombe

Carlisle United
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Wycombe Wanderers
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Wycombe
2-0
Carlisle
Leahy (40' pen.), Vokes (74')
Stryjek (54'), Forino-Joseph (65')

Moxon (17')
Andresson (29')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Wycombe
4-3
Carlisle
Bloomfield (28'), O'Nien (31'), Cowan-Hall (90'), Bean (90')
O'Nien (48')
Grainger (49' pen.), Devitt (68'), Stockton (70')
Parkes (22'), Bonham (61'), Twardek (72')
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
3-3
Wycombe
Lambe (4', 84'), Devitt (38' pen.)
Saunders (45'), Akinfenwa (72'), Cowan-Hall (90')
Saunders (37')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Wycombe
1-2
Carlisle
Akinfenwa (2')
Saunders (76')
Proctor (9'), Lambe (34')
O'Sullivan (20'), Liddle (79'), Jones (82')
Sep 24, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Wycombe
Miller (57')
Jones (64')

Jombarti (12'), Harriman (71'), Stewart (93')