League One Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Harrison Neal 4' yellowcard
  • Alfie McCalmont 28' goal
  • Anton Dudik 67' yellowcard
  • goal Garath McCleary 15'
  • yellowcard Freddie Botts 45'
  • goal Richard Kone 49'
  • goal Garath McCleary 75'

Carlisle United vs Wycombe Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
Carlisle 0 - 1 Blackpool
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Wycombe Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2024 7.45pm
Port Vale 1 - 2 Wycombe
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Luke Leahy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Carlisle United 21.72% (+0.01)
Draw 24.18% (-0.01)
Wycombe Wanderers 54.09% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.57% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.48% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 50.51% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 27.56% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 72.43% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 13.02% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.97% (-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 62.11% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 37.88% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.34% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 74.65% (-0.01)

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 81.41% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.59% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.13%
Under 1.5 49.86% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 21.72%
Draw 24.18%
Wycombe Wanderers 54.08%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 6.84%
2-1 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.32%
3-1 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 21.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.18%
Wycombe Wanderers
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-3 @ 5.59% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.43%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-4 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.08%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Adams Park
  • Luke Leahy 40' goal
  • Max Stryjek 54' yellowcard
  • Chris Forino-Joseph 65' yellowcard
  • Sam Vokes 74' goal
  • yellowcard Owen Moxon 17'
  • redcard Jokull Andresson 29'
League Two
Feb 3, 2018 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Matt Bloomfield 28' goal
  • Luke O'Nien 31' goal
  • Luke O'Nien 48' redcard
  • Paris Cowan-Hall 90' goal
  • Marcus Bean 90' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Parkes 22'
  • goal Danny Grainger 49'
  • yellowcard Jack Bonham 61'
  • goal Jamie Devitt 68'
  • goal Cole Stockton 70'
  • yellowcard Kris Twardek 72'
League Two
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Reggie Lambe 4' goal
  • Jamie Devitt 38' goal
  • Reggie Lambe 84' goal
  • yellowcard Sam Saunders 37'
  • goal Sam Saunders 45'
  • goal Adebayo Akinfenwa 72'
  • goal Paris Cowan-Hall 90'
League Two
Feb 18, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Adebayo Akinfenwa 2' goal
  • Sam Saunders 76' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Proctor 9'
  • yellowcard John O'Sullivan 20'
  • goal Reggie Lambe 34'
  • yellowcard Gary Liddle 79'
  • yellowcard Mike Jones 82'
League Two
Sep 24, 2016 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shaun Miller 57' goal
  • Mike Jones 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sido Jombarti 12'
  • yellowcard Michael Harriman 71'
  • yellowcard Anthony Stewart 93'
League Two
Mar 19, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Charlie Wyke 26' goal
  • Jason Kennedy 32' yellowcard
  • Michael Raynes 88' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Wood 12'
  • redcard Marcus Bean 79'
  • yellowcard Anthony Stewart 83'