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Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Blackpool

Carlisle
0 - 1
Blackpool


Harris (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dembele (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Blackpool

Blackpool may have lost their last two away matches, but we think that the Tangerines will have the quality required to claim a relatively comfortable victory over League One's basement side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBlackpool
17.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.09% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 60.3% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (-0.189 -0.19)47.37% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41% (-0.174 -0.17)69.59% (0.17 0.17)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.48% (-0.116 -0.12)40.52% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (-0.104 -0.1)77.13% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)15.28% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.02% (-0.145 -0.15)43.98% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 17.61%
    Blackpool 60.29%
    Draw 22.08%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 2.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.61%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 11.63% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.92% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 60.29%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Blackpool

Carlisle United
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Blackpool
100%
5
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Blackpool
3-0
Carlisle
Lyons (22'), Rhodes (67', 90+5')

Barclay (5'), McGeouch (43'), Robinson (88')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Carlisle
0-1
Blackpool
Mitchell (38')
Oct 15, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
2-1
Blackpool
Loft (45'), Carroll (87')
Mellish (38'), Carroll (69')
Gray (25' og.)
Spearing (74')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Carlisle
1-4
Blackpool
Ibehre (69')
Raynes (64')
Potts (33'), Flores (56'), Odelusi (83'), Delfouneso (86')
Daniel (50'), Robertson (62'), Matt (89')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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