League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 1
Blackpool

Harris (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dembele (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Blackpool

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Blackpool
17.61% ( -0)	22.09% ( 0.04)	60.3% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.39% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.63% (

-0.19)

47.37% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.41% (

-0.17)

69.59% (

0.17)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.48% (

-0.12)

40.52% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.87% (

-0.1)

77.13% (

0.1)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.72% (

-0.08)

15.28% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.02% (

-0.15)

43.98% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 17.61%

Blackpool 60.29%

Draw 22.08%

Carlisle United	Draw	Blackpool
1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.61%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.08%	0-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.92% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 60.29%