League One

League One | Gameweek 41

Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 0
Blackpool

Adams (40')
Sibley (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dembele (33'), Critchley (34'), Coulson (60'), Norburn (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Derby County and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Blackpool

All competitions

Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Blackpool
50.48% ( 0.2)	25.73% ( -0.05)	23.79% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 48.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.45% (

0.08)

54.55% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.1% (

0.06)

75.9% (

-0.06)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

0.11)

21.64% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.23% (

0.18)

54.77% (

-0.18)

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.83% (

-0.09)

38.17% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.06% (

-0.09)

74.93% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Derby County 50.48%

Blackpool 23.79%

Draw 25.73%

Derby County	Draw	Blackpool
1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.48%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.79%