League One Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Adams Park
  • Kieran Sadlier 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Korey Smith 29'

Wycombe Wanderers vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wycombe Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
Blackpool 0 - 0 Wycombe
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Luke Leahy

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2024 8.00pm
Portsmouth 2 - 2 Derby
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
James Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Wycombe Wanderers 25.47% (-0.06)
Draw 24.87% (-0.06)
Derby County 49.65% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.69% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.2% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 49.79% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 28.2% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 71.79% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 13.44% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 86.55% (-0.11)

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 65.92% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.08% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 29.24% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 70.76% (-0.06)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 79.92% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 20.07% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 47.69% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 52.3% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Wycombe Wanderers 25.47%
Draw 24.87%
Derby County 49.65%
Wycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.28% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 24.87%
Derby County
0-1 @ 10.98% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.49% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.82%
1-3 @ 5.08% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.72% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 49.65%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Louie Sibley 14' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 15' yellowcard
  • Conor Hourihane 20' yellowcard
  • James Collins 30' yellowcard
  • Max Bird 31' yellowcard
  • Tom Barkhuizen 83' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Leahy 30'
  • yellowcard Chris Forino-Joseph 51'
  • yellowcard Sam Vokes 82'
  • goal Luke Leahy 90'+8'
League One Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Adams Park
  • Sam Vokes 11' goal
  • Lewis Wing 77' goal
  • Lewis Wing 86' goal
  • goal James Collins 66'
  • goal Lewis Dobbin 89'
League One Gameweek 10
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Conor Hourihane 72' goal
  • Conor Hourihane 86' goal
  • goal Anis Mehmeti 15'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Adams Park
  • Ryan Allsop 16' yellowcard
  • Uche Ikpeazu 48' goal
  • Anthony Stewart 53' yellowcard
  • goal Uche Ikpeazu 16' (OG)
  • yellowcard Teden Mengi 63'
  • yellowcard Andre Wisdom 69'
  • goal Andre Wisdom 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Duane Holmes 36' goal
  • yellowcard Scott Kashket 31'
  • goal Matt Bloomfield 81'