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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
| 25.47% ( | 24.87% ( | 49.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% ( | 49.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% ( | 71.79% ( |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( | 34.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.24% ( | 70.76% ( |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( | 20.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% ( | 52.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 3-0 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.47% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0-2 @ 8.82% 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0-3 @ 4.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0-4 @ 1.9% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 49.65% |