Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.