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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 41.77% ( | 25.72% ( | 32.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.42% ( | 49.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.4% ( | 71.6% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( | 23.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% ( | 57.6% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( | 28.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( | 64.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2% Total : 41.77% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.51% |