Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 0-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Colchester United win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Peterborough United in this match.