Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 72.02%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 11.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-3 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 2-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.