Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Gateshead International Stadium
  • goal Darragh Lenihan 30'
  • yellowcard G. McCormick 87'

Gateshead vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2024 7.30pm
Blyth Spartans 0 - 7 Gateshead

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 20, 2024 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 3 - 0 Bolton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result

Gateshead 33.22% (+0.41)
Draw 23.15% (+0.03)
Middlesbrough 43.64% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.79% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.52% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 37.48% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 40.29% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 59.71% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.38% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 77.62% (-0.03)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5 77.45% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 22.55% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 43.87% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 56.13% (-0.36)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 82.36% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 17.64% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 51.75% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 48.25% (+0.28)

Score analysis

Gateshead 33.22%
Draw 23.14%
Middlesbrough 43.64%
Gateshead
2-1 @ 7.66% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 5.92% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.41% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.8% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.19% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.42% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 33.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 6.64% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.98% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.14%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.84% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.06)
1-4 @ 2.24% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.5% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 43.64%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 10, 2019 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Connor Thomson 48' goal
  • goal Jonathan Howson 43'
  • goal Ashley Fletcher 66'
  • goal Marvin Johnson 87'