Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Gateshead	Draw	Middlesbrough
33.22% ( 0.4)	23.15% ( 0.02)	43.64% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 63.79% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.52% (

0.03)

37.48% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.29% (

0.03)

59.71% (

-0.03)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.45% (

0.24)

22.55% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.87% (

0.35)

56.13% (

-0.35)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.36% (

-0.16)

17.64% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.75% (

-0.27)

48.25% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Gateshead 33.22%

Middlesbrough 43.64%

Draw 23.14%

Gateshead	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.22%	1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.14%	1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.97% Total : 43.64%