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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | MK Dons |
| 35.63% ( | 24.01% ( | 40.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% ( | 41.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( | 63.49% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( | 22.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.32% ( | 56.68% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% ( | 20.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.9% ( | 53.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.64% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 3-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0-4 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 40.35% |