/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmkdlog.png)
-
Matthew Pollock
24'
-
Tom Ince
45'+1'
-
Kwadwo Baah
64'
-
Tom Ince
67'
-
Francisco Sierralta
70'
-
Tom Ince
74'
-
MJ Williams
90'
-
MJ Williams
90'
Watford vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F32%2Ftom-cleverley.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result
Watford
35.92%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
24.17%
▲
(+0.01)
MK Dons
39.9%
▼
(-0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
60.68%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.16%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
41.84%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
35.76%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
64.24%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
18.83%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
81.16%
▲
(+0.03)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
76.9%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
23.1%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
43.05%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
56.95%
▼
(-0.08)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5
78.9%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
21.09%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
46.08%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
53.92%
▲
(+0.12)
Score analysis
Watford
35.92%
Draw
24.17%
MK Dons
39.9%
Watford
2-1
@
8.14%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 35.92%
1-0 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 35.92%
Draw
1-1
@
11.11%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
2-2 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
MK Dons
1-2
@
8.65%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 39.9%
0-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 39.9%
Dean Blackwell
17'