Club Friendlies 3
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Matthew Dennis
49'
Chelmsford City vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result
Chelmsford City
29.73%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
23.81%
▲
(+0.07)
MK Dons
46.46%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
59.58%
▼
(-0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.73%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 2.5
42.26%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 3.5
35.33%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 3.5
64.67%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 4.5
18.51%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 4.5
81.49%
▲
(+0.29)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5
73.01%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 0.5
26.98%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 1.5
37.67%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
62.33%
▲
(+0.37)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5
81.59%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
18.4%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
50.44%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
49.56%
▲
(+0.20)
Score analysis
Chelmsford City
29.73%
Draw
23.81%
MK Dons
46.46%
Chelmsford City
2-1
@
7.21%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.73%
1-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.73%
Draw
1-1
@
11.01%
▲
(+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.81%
2-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.81%
MK Dons
1-2
@
9.32%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 46.46%
0-1 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 46.46%