National League South Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Henry Young 16' goal

Dover Athletic vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
Welling United 1 - 0 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Zidane Sutherland

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 4 - 1 Dartford
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Charlie Ruff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 12.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Dover Athletic 12.14% (-0.01)
Draw 17.63% (+0.02)
Chelmsford City 70.22% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.57% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.23% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 38.76% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 38.92% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 61.07% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 21.28% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 78.71% (+0.07)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 57.23% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 42.77% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 20.9% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 79.09% (+0.05)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 90.11% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 9.89% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 67.23% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 32.77% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Dover Athletic 12.14%
Draw 17.63%
Chelmsford City 70.22%
Dover Athletic
1-0 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 3.53% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 12.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.31% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.23% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.63%
Chelmsford City
0-2 @ 11.32% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 9.79% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.62% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 8.73% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 7.42% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 2.34% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 70.22%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2023 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Mohamed Bettamer 38' goal
  • Cameron James 76' goal
  • Charlie Naylor 83' goal
  • goal Joshua Anifowose 6'
  • goal Zidane Sutherland 64'
  • goal James Dunne 80'
National League South Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
National League South Gameweek 18
Nov 7, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns