Dover Athletic
National League South | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
1 - 3
Farnborough

Dembele (14')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kuhl (25' pen., 66'), Holmes (45+1')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 3-1 Aveley
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawFarnborough Town
15.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16% (0.012 0.01)43.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.77% (0.012 0.01)66.23% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.54% (0.026000000000003 0.03)40.46% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.93% (0.027000000000001 0.03)77.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)39.85% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 15.95%
    Farnborough Town 63.42%
    Draw 20.61%
Dover AthleticDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 4.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 4.42% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 15.95%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.61%
0-2 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 7.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 6.7%
0-4 @ 3.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 63.42%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Farnborough
4-0
Dover Athletic
Folivi (36'), Maloney (43' pen.), Holmes (78'), Robinson (81')

Allen (90+4')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Farnborough
3-0
Dover Athletic
Bloomfield (7'), Lokko (40'), Saied (71')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Dover Athletic
1-1
Farnborough
Pavey (61' pen.)
Young (14')