National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Paddy Power Park
Farnborough3 - 1Aveley
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Aveley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Worthing 2-3 Farnborough
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
60
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
55
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Aveley |
48.93% ( 0.07) | 24.49% ( -0.03) | 26.57% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
