National League South | Gameweek 39

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The A2B Stadium

Worthing
2 - 3
Farnborough

Felix (42'), Dolaghan (73')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Haigh (27', 56'), Clark (43')
Hollis (90+5')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions

Last Game: Worthing 1-3 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Farnborough Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Farnborough
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 37.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.98%) and 0-2 (5.12%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Worthing	Draw	Farnborough Town
37.08% ( -1.79)	22.79% ( 0.3)	40.13% ( 1.5)

Both teams to score 66.13% (

-1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.19% (

-1.64)

34.82% (

1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.22% (

-1.86)

56.79% (

1.87)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64% (

-1.52)

19.36% (

1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.85% (

-2.56)

51.15% (

2.57)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82% (

-0.05)

18% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.14% (

-0.09)

48.87% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Worthing 37.08%

Farnborough Town 40.13%

Draw 22.79%

Worthing	Draw	Farnborough Town
2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.43% Total : 37.08%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.79%	1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.1) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.99% Total : 40.13%