Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.