National League South | Gameweek 30
Jan 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Welling United

Carruthers (25' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 2-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Welling United 1-3 Aveley
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 68.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 13.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawWelling United
68.22% (0.18299999999999 0.18)18.32% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)13.46% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.3% (0.139 0.14)38.7% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39% (0.146 0.15)61% (-0.141 -0.14)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.64% (0.084999999999994 0.08)10.36% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.14% (0.187 0.19)33.86% (-0.182 -0.18)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.32% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)40.68% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.73% (-0.052 -0.05)77.27% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 68.22%
    Welling United 13.46%
    Draw 18.32%
Chelmsford CityDrawWelling United
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.19% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.64% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.17% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.1% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 68.22%
1-1 @ 8.6% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.32%
1-2 @ 3.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 13.46%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Welling United
1-2
Chelmsford City
Adom (83')
Kassarate (87')
Ruff (62'), Castiglione (90+9')
Terry (90')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Chelmsford City
0-1
Welling United
Maloney (49' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Welling United
1-2
Chelmsford City
Maloney (85')
Jackson (67', 81')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Welling United
1-0
Chelmsford City
Akinyemi (35')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Chelmsford City
0-0
Welling United
Frimpong (90+1')