National League South Gameweek 30
Jan 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Samir Carruthers 25' goal

Chelmsford City vs Welling United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
Worthing 2 - 3 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Charlie Ruff

Welling United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
Welling United 1 - 3 Aveley
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Tristan Abrahams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 68.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 13.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result

Chelmsford City 68.22% (+0.19)
Draw 18.32% (-0.08)
Welling United 13.46% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.17% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.3% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 38.7% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 39% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 61% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 21.34% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 78.66% (-0.11)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 89.64% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 10.36% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 66.14% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 33.86% (-0.19)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5 59.32% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 40.68% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 22.73% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 77.27% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 68.22%
Draw 18.32%
Welling United 13.46%
Chelmsford City
2-0 @ 10.83% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.19% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.36% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.64% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.17% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.31% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.1% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 68.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.6% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 18.32%
Welling United
1-2 @ 3.87% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 3.79% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 13.46%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Park View Road
  • Kain Adom 83' goal
  • Amadou Kassarate 87' redcard
  • goal Charlie Ruff 62'
  • redcard Frankie Terry 90'
  • goal Josh Castiglione 90'+9'
National League South Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • goal Taylor Maloney 49'
National League South Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Park View Road
  • Taylor Maloney 85' goal
  • goal Simeon Jackson 67'
  • goal Simeon Jackson 81'
National League South Gameweek 33
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dipo Akinyemi 35' goal
National League South Gameweek 22
Jan 15, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Christian Frimpong 90'+1' redcard
National League South Gameweek 35