Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for St Albans City had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a St Albans City win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.