National League South Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Clarence Park
  • goal 86'
  • goal James Morton 86'

St Albans City vs Weston-super-Mare - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Albans City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
St Albans City 2 - 3 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Shaun Jeffers

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
Aveley 2 - 0 Weston
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Reuben Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Weston-super-Mare in this match.

Result

St Albans City 35% (+0.10)
Draw 25.78% (-0.03)
Weston-super-Mare 39.21% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.83% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.66% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 49.34% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 28.61% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 71.39% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 13.72% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 86.28% (-0.09)

St Albans City Goals

Over 0.5 72.87% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 27.12% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 37.48% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 62.51% (-0.16)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 0.5 75.24% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 24.75% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 40.68% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.31% (-0.04)

Score analysis

St Albans City 35%
Draw 25.78%
Weston-super-Mare 39.22%
St Albans City
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.98% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.72% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.47% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.57% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.78%
Weston-super-Mare
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.97% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 39.22%