National League South | Gameweek 16
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Mill Field

Aveley
2 - 0
Weston

Ibie (41'), Vaz (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aveley

All competitions
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Aveley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
Last Game: Dartford 4-2 Weston
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.

Result
AveleyDrawWeston-super-Mare
44.47% (-0.341 -0.34)25.19% (0.047999999999998 0.05)30.35% (0.294 0.29)
Both teams to score 55.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)48.1% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.73% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)70.27% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)21.63% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.283 -0.28)54.75% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (0.167 0.17)29.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (0.206 0.21)65.51% (-0.205 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 44.47%
    Weston-super-Mare 30.35%
    Draw 25.18%
AveleyDrawWeston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 44.47%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.35%