National League South | Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park

St Albans City
0 - 1
Aveley

FT(HT: 0-0)
Hernandez (64')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Albans City

All competitions
Last Game: St Albans City 3-2 Slough
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South

Aveley

All competitions
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-4 Aveley
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
St Albans CityDrawAveley
47.51% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)25.21% (0.010999999999999 0.01)27.28% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.17% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.1% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)49.9% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.11% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)71.89% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)21.02% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)53.81% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)32.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)69.23% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 47.51%
    Aveley 27.28%
    Draw 25.21%
St Albans CityDrawAveley
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 47.51%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.87% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 27.28%