National League South | Gameweek 10
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Mill Field
Braintree Town

Aveley
1 - 1
Braintree

Rush (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carson (4')
Grimwood (35')
Grimwood (46')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slough 2-0 Aveley
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
AveleyDrawBraintree Town
50.37% (3.644 3.64)25.45% (-0.692 -0.69)24.18% (-2.952 -2.95)
Both teams to score 49.68% (-0.54 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.87% (0.569 0.57)53.13% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (0.482 0.48)74.7% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (1.85 1.85)21.11% (-1.849 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (2.799 2.8)53.95% (-2.799 -2.8)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (-2.214 -2.21)37.02% (2.212 2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (-2.266 -2.27)73.81% (2.266 2.27)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 50.37%
    Braintree Town 24.18%
    Draw 25.44%
AveleyDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 12.15% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 9.45% (0.802 0.8)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.264 0.26)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.658 0.66)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.392 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.345 0.35)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.247 0.25)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 50.37%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.34 -0.34)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 7.77% (-0.668 -0.67)
1-2 @ 6% (-0.547 -0.55)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.592 -0.59)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.316 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.288 -0.29)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 24.18%