Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.