National League South | Gameweek 34
Aug 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Parkside Stadium

Aveley
3 - 0
Hampton

Benton (44'), Odelusi (49' pen.), Hernandez (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Hampton & Richmond.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 0-1 Dartford
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 3-1 Hampton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.

Result
AveleyDrawHampton & Richmond
46.55% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)25.49% (0.029 0.03)27.96% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.81% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)50.61% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)72.52% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)21.74% (0.078999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08% (-0.12 -0.12)54.92% (0.121 0.12)
Hampton & Richmond Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48% (0.010999999999996 0.01)32.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95% (0.013000000000002 0.01)69.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 46.54%
    Hampton & Richmond 27.97%
    Draw 25.48%
AveleyDrawHampton & Richmond
1-0 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 27.97%