Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.