National League South | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
3 - 1
Hampton

Wilson (19', 59'), Clark (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hall (90+4')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Hampton & Richmond.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Bath City
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Hampton
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.

Result
Bath CityDrawHampton & Richmond
37.99% (-2.05 -2.05)25.22% (0.188 0.19)36.78% (1.858 1.86)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-0.45 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32% (-0.676 -0.68)46.68% (0.672 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (-0.635 -0.63)68.94% (0.634 0.63)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-1.357 -1.36)24.19% (1.354 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.47% (-1.963 -1.96)58.53% (1.96 1.96)
Hampton & Richmond Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (0.736 0.74)24.85% (-0.739 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (1.016 1.02)59.45% (-1.018 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 37.99%
    Hampton & Richmond 36.78%
    Draw 25.21%
Bath CityDrawHampton & Richmond
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.288 -0.29)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 37.99%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.168 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.405 0.41)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.253 0.25)
0-2 @ 5.83% (0.399 0.4)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.195 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.238 0.24)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.095 0.1)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 36.78%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Bath City
1-1
Hampton
Hayfield (50')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Hampton
1-1
Bath City
Donaldson (62')
Wilson (75')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Hampton
4-0
Bath City
Inman (22', 43'), Miller-Rodney (73'), Robinson (84')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Bath City
1-3
Hampton
Dyer (81')
Muir (38'), Gray (53'), Slew (86')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm